Match

AFC Hornchurch vs Fulham U21: prediction and stats

National League CupGroup StageKick-off on October 6, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Hornchurch Stadium, London

AFC HornchurchFulham U21

The Footlab model makes AFC Hornchurch the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Fulham U21. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win AFC Hornchurch vs Fulham U21?

A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate AFC Hornchurch (1,888) and Fulham U21 (1,883).

AFC Hornchurch win44 %
Draw23 %
Fulham U21 win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Hornchurch have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Fulham U21 have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

AFC Hornchurch
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Carlisle(away)1-4National League
Aug 18, 2026Norwich City U21(home)1-2National League Cup
Aug 15, 2026Barrow(away)2-1National League
Aug 8, 2026Kidderminster Harriers(home)3-0National League
Aug 1, 2026Coventry City U21(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
Fulham U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Burnley U21(home)4-3Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026Aldershot Town(away)2-2National League Cup
Aug 8, 2026Cardiff City U21(away)4-0Friendlies Clubs
Apr 24, 2026West Ham United U21(home)1-1Premier League 2 Division One
Apr 10, 2026Chelsea U21(home)2-1Premier League 2 Division One

How many goals should we expect?

AFC Hornchurch score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Fulham U21 score 2.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
AFC Hornchurch2.11.169/1511/15
Fulham U212.31.6311/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for AFC Hornchurch vs Fulham U21?
The Footlab model makes AFC Hornchurch the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Fulham U21.
Where and when is AFC Hornchurch vs Fulham U21 played?
AFC Hornchurch vs Fulham U21 is played on October 6, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Hornchurch Stadium, in the National League Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: AFC Hornchurch and Fulham U21

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