AFC Hornchurch vs Gateshead: prediction and stats
National LeagueMatchday 45Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Hornchurch Stadium, London
The Footlab AI model makes AFC Hornchurch the favourite at 72%, against 17% for a draw and 11% for Gateshead. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 6,059 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AFC Hornchurch vs Gateshead?
AFC Hornchurch starts as the favourite with a 225-point Elo edge (1,744 vs 1,520).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AFC Hornchurch vs Gateshead
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AFC Hornchurch
3-4-3- 10Á. Balanta
- 30R. Loft
- 7J. Walker
- 14Charlie Pegrum
- 8T. Wraight
- 27Alfie Massey
- 18M. Weston
- 2W. Greenidge
- 6T. Dallison-Lisbon
- 5J. Baldwin
- 1A. Nasta
Gateshead
4-3-3- 23B. Chadwick
- 7J. Hiwula
- 21M. Spellman
- 20F. John
- 18B. Williams
- 8S. Bowen
- 5A. Lankshear
- 3D. Ferguson
- 2T. Lavery
- 28H. Holgate
- 12P. Jameson
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 07:20 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Hornchurch have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Gateshead have 1, 2 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Tamworth(home) | 2-1 | National League |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Blackpool(home) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Nov 3, 2026 | West Ham United U21(home) | 2-0 | National League Cup |
| Oct 30, 2026 | AFC Fylde(away) | 1-3 | National League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Yeovil Town(home) | 1-2 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Barrow(home) | 0-3 | National League |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Stoke City U21(home) | 3-1 | National League Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Aldershot Town(away) | 0-1 | National League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Boston United(away) | 1-2 | National League |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Stafford Rangers(away) | 0-5 | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Hornchurch score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Gateshead score 0.6 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Hornchurch | 1.2 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Gateshead | 0.6 | 2.5 | 1 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AFC Hornchurch sit 15th in National League (21 points from 16 matches) and Gateshead sit 24th (4 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | AFC Hornchurch | 16 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 18 | 26 | 21 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 34 | 4 |
A question about AFC Hornchurch vs Gateshead?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AFC Hornchurch vs Gateshead?
- The Footlab AI model makes AFC Hornchurch the favourite at 72%, against 17% for a draw and 11% for Gateshead.
- Where and when is AFC Hornchurch vs Gateshead played?
- AFC Hornchurch vs Gateshead is played on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Hornchurch Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.