Solihull Moors vs AFC Hornchurch: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 46Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)ARMCO Arena, Solihull, West Midlands
The Footlab model makes AFC Hornchurch the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Solihull Moors. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Solihull Moors vs AFC Hornchurch?
AFC Hornchurch starts as the favourite with a 175-point Elo edge (1,888 vs 1,714).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Solihull Moors have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; AFC Hornchurch have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Southend(home) | 1-3 | National League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Middlesbrough U21(home) | 1-3 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Boston United(home) | 0-2 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Harrogate Town(away) | 2-5 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Northampton(home) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Carlisle(away) | 1-4 | National League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Norwich City U21(home) | 1-2 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Barrow(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(home) | 3-0 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Coventry City U21(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Solihull Moors score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Hornchurch score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solihull Moors | 1.4 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| AFC Hornchurch | 2.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Solihull Moors sit 24th in National League (0 points from 3 matches) and AFC Hornchurch sit 7th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | AFC Hornchurch | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 24 | Solihull Moors | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Solihull Moors vs AFC Hornchurch?
- The Footlab model makes AFC Hornchurch the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Solihull Moors.
- Where and when is Solihull Moors vs AFC Hornchurch played?
- Solihull Moors vs AFC Hornchurch is played on April 24, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at ARMCO Arena, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.