AFC Hornchurch vs Ipswich Town U21: prediction and stats
National League CupGroup StageKick-off on September 8, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Hornchurch Stadium, London
The Footlab model makes AFC Hornchurch the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Ipswich Town U21. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AFC Hornchurch vs Ipswich Town U21?
AFC Hornchurch starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,889 vs 1,773).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Hornchurch have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Ipswich Town U21 have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Carlisle(away) | 1-4 | National League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Norwich City U21(home) | 1-2 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Barrow(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(home) | 3-0 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Coventry City U21(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Braintree(away) | 1-1 | National League Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Coventry City U21(home) | 2-4 | Premier League Cup |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Brighton U21(home) | 1-2 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Everton U21(away) | 4-8 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Birmingham City U21(away) | 3-0 | Premier League 2 Division One |
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Hornchurch score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ipswich Town U21 score 2.0 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Hornchurch | 2.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Ipswich Town U21 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AFC Hornchurch vs Ipswich Town U21?
- The Footlab model makes AFC Hornchurch the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Ipswich Town U21.
- Where and when is AFC Hornchurch vs Ipswich Town U21 played?
- AFC Hornchurch vs Ipswich Town U21 is played on September 8, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Hornchurch Stadium, in the National League Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 11, 2026Hartlepool0-10Middlesbrough U21
- Aug 18, 2026FC Halifax Town6-2Derby County U21
- Aug 18, 2026Sutton Utd0-0Leicester City U21
- Aug 18, 2026Boreham Wood5-2Leeds United U21
- Aug 18, 2026Scunthorpe4-0Stoke City U21
- Aug 18, 2026Solihull Moors1-3Middlesbrough U21
- Aug 18, 2026Gateshead1-1Nottingham Forest U21
- Aug 18, 2026Truro City2-1Southampton U21