AFC Hornchurch vs Merstham: result 4-2 and analysis
FA Trophy2nd Round QualifyingKick-off on November 15, 2014 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Hornchurch Stadium, London
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What was the result of AFC Hornchurch vs Merstham?
AFC Hornchurch won 4-2 on November 15, 2014.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Hornchurch have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Merstham have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2014 | Harrow Borough(home) | 2-0 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 16, 2014 | East Thurrock United(away) | 4-4 | FA Cup |
| Sep 13, 2014 | East Thurrock United(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 26, 2013 | Hereford United(home) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 19, 2013 | Hemel Hempstead Town(away) | 2-3 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2014 | Aylesbury(away) | 2-1 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 27, 2014 | Whitehawk(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 16, 2014 | Chipstead(away) | 4-3 | FA Cup |
| Sep 13, 2014 | Chipstead(home) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
| Aug 30, 2014 | Ringmer(away) | 4-0 | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Hornchurch score 2.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Merstham score 1.9 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Hornchurch | 2.2 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Merstham | 1.9 | 1.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 15, 2014Peacehaven & Telscombe4-3Thamesmead Town
- Nov 15, 2014Slough Town1-1Merthyr Town
- Nov 15, 2014Histon0-2Cray Wanderers
- Nov 15, 2014Curzon Ashton1-2Barwell
- Nov 15, 2014Spennymoor Town3-3Leek Town
- Nov 15, 2014Burgess Hill Town0-0Folkestone Invicta
- Nov 15, 2014Nantwich Town1-3Ramsbottom United
- Nov 15, 2014Metropolitan Police2-0Dulwich Hamlet