Wealdstone vs AFC Hornchurch: prediction and stats
National LeagueMatchday 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Grosvenor Vale, Ruislip, Middlesex
The Footlab AI model makes AFC Hornchurch the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Wealdstone. The most likely score is 1-1. If AFC Hornchurch wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 6,384 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wealdstone vs AFC Hornchurch?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Wealdstone (1,941) and AFC Hornchurch (2,024).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Wealdstone vs AFC Hornchurch
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Wealdstone
4-3-2-1- 7L. Norris
- 9O. Olomola
- 4J. Wells-Morrison
- 8D. Kadji
- 20M. Oni
- 11Daniel Chesters
- 32Abraham Kanu
- 12A. Francis-Clarke
- 5D. Conroy
- 3J. Newton
- 1D. Baptiste
AFC Hornchurch
3-4-3- 10Á. Balanta
- 30R. Loft
- 7J. Walker
- 14Charlie Pegrum
- 8T. Wraight
- 27Alfie Massey
- 18M. Weston
- 2W. Greenidge
- 6T. Dallison-Lisbon
- 5J. Baldwin
- 1A. Nasta
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 12:37 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wealdstone have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; AFC Hornchurch have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Hartlepool(away) | 1-1 | National League |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Dover(away) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Derby County U21(home) | 2-2 | National League Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Southend(home) | 3-2 | National League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Solihull Moors(home) | 2-3 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Tamworth(home) | 2-1 | National League |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Blackpool(home) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Nov 3, 2026 | West Ham United U21(home) | 2-0 | National League Cup |
| Oct 30, 2026 | AFC Fylde(away) | 1-3 | National League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Yeovil Town(home) | 1-2 | National League |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Wealdstone wins, 0 draws, 1 AFC Hornchurch win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2013 | AFC Hornchurch 6-1 Wealdstone | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: AFC Hornchurch vs Wealdstone on Oct 12, 2013
How many goals should we expect?
Wealdstone score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Hornchurch score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wealdstone | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| AFC Hornchurch | 1.2 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wealdstone sit 17th in National League (19 points from 17 matches) and AFC Hornchurch sit 12th (24 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | AFC Hornchurch | 17 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 20 | 27 | 24 |
| 17 | Wealdstone | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 30 | 19 |
A question about Wealdstone vs AFC Hornchurch?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wealdstone vs AFC Hornchurch?
- The Footlab AI model makes AFC Hornchurch the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Wealdstone.
- Where and when is Wealdstone vs AFC Hornchurch played?
- Wealdstone vs AFC Hornchurch is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Grosvenor Vale, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.