AFC Telford United vs Alfreton Town: result 1-0 and analysis
National LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on September 27, 2011 at 06:45 PM (UTC)New Bucks Head Ground, Telford, Shropshire
Full time
What was the result of AFC Telford United vs Alfreton Town?
AFC Telford United won 1-0 on September 27, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 68′Chris SharpAFC Telford United
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, AFC Telford United have 3 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Alfreton Town have 2, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2011 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 2-2 | National League |
| Sep 20, 2011 | Mansfield Town(away) | 1-1 | National League |
| Sep 17, 2011 | Bath City(home) | 2-1 | National League |
| Sep 13, 2011 | Luton(home) | 0-2 | National League |
| Sep 10, 2011 | Stockport County(home) | 1-1 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2011 | Ebbsfleet United(home) | 2-2 | National League |
| Sep 20, 2011 | Barrow(home) | 2-1 | National League |
| Sep 17, 2011 | Kidderminster Harriers(away) | 1-3 | National League |
| Sep 10, 2011 | Braintree(home) | 0-1 | National League |
| Sep 3, 2011 | Gateshead(away) | 0-2 | National League |
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Telford United score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 11; Alfreton Town score 0.9 and concede 2.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Telford United | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1 | 8/11 | 6/11 |
| Alfreton Town | 0.9 | 2.1 | 2 | 7/11 | 6/11 |
Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy