AFC Telford United vs Merthyr Town: result 2-4 and analysis
National League - NorthNorth - 16Kick-off on November 4, 2025 at 07:45 PM (UTC)New Bucks Head Ground, Telford, Shropshire
Full time
What was the result of AFC Telford United vs Merthyr Town?
Merthyr Town won 2-4 on November 4, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 14′M. StensonAFC Telford United
- 18′R. ReesMerthyr Town
- 31′R. ReesMerthyr Town
- 41′R. ReesMerthyr Town
- 71′R. ReesMerthyr Town (pen.)
- 87′A. GeorgeAFC Telford United
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Telford United have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Merthyr Town have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | Sutton Utd(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Worksop Town(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 21, 2025 | Hereford(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Scarborough Athletic(home) | 4-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Darlington 1883(away) | 6-0 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | Darlington 1883(home) | 3-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Chorley(away) | 2-0 | National League - North |
| Oct 21, 2025 | Kidderminster Harriers(home) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Spennymoor Town(away) | 4-6 | National League - North |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Chester(away) | 2-2 | National League - North |
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Telford United score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Merthyr Town score 1.9 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Telford United | 2.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Merthyr Town | 1.9 | 1.8 | 5 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AFC Telford United sit 22nd in National League - North (2 points from 4 matches) and Merthyr Town sit 12th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Merthyr Town | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| 22 | AFC Telford United | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 2 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy