Afogados vs Floresta: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie DRegular Season - 1Kick-off on September 20, 2020 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Valdemar Viana de Araújo, Afogados da Ingazeira, Pernambuco
Full time
What was the result of Afogados vs Floresta?
Afogados won 1-0 on September 20, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 83′AlanAfogados
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Afogados have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Floresta have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2020 | Ponte Preta(home) | 0-2 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Jul 31, 2020 | Salgueiro(away) | 0-3 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Jul 26, 2020 | Retrô(away) | 1-0 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Jul 19, 2020 | Acadêmica Vitória(home) | 1-0 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Mar 12, 2020 | Ponte Preta(away) | 0-3 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2020 | Guarany de Sobral(home) | 1-1 | Cearense - 1 |
| Jan 22, 2020 | Horizonte(away) | 4-1 | Cearense - 1 |
| Jan 18, 2020 | Pacajus(home) | 1-1 | Cearense - 1 |
| Jan 16, 2020 | Ferroviario(away) | 0-1 | Cearense - 1 |
| Jan 11, 2020 | Uniclinic Atletico Clube(away) | 1-1 | Cearense - 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Afogados score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Floresta score 1.6 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Afogados | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Floresta | 1.6 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy