Ferroviario vs Floresta: prediction and stats
Cearense - 1Regular Season - 1Kick-off on January 5, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Presidente Getúlio Vargas, Fortaleza, Ceará
The Footlab AI model makes Ferroviario the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Floresta. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ferroviario wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,902 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ferroviario vs Floresta?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Ferroviario (1,632) and Floresta (1,652).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ferroviario vs Floresta
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ferroviario
Not enough data to predict the Ferroviario lineup.
Floresta
4-3-3- 11Rafinha
- 7Baianinho
- 19Matheus Lima
- 17Nonato
- 21Rafa Marcos
- 13Garraty
- 4Joao Victor
- 23Islan
- 16Zulu
- 29Caique
- 12Dheimison
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 03:48 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ferroviario have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Floresta have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Goiatuba EC(home) | 1-2 | Serie D |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Goiatuba EC(away) | 0-3 | Serie D |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Central SC(home) | 2-0 | Serie D |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Central SC(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Fluminense PI(home) | 1-0 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Maringá(away) | 0-2 | Serie C |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Botafogo PB(home) | 1-1 | Serie C |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Santa Cruz(home) | 1-1 | Serie C |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Santa Cruz(away) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Botafogo PB(away) | 1-0 | Serie C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ferroviario wins, 3 draws, 1 Floresta win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Ferroviario 1-0 Floresta | Cearense - 1 |
| Feb 2, 2026 | Floresta 0-0 Ferroviario | Cearense - 1 |
| Jan 29, 2025 | Floresta 3-3 Ferroviario | Cearense - 1 |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Floresta 0-2 Ferroviario | Copa Fares Lopes |
| Dec 4, 2024 | Ferroviario 0-2 Floresta | Copa Fares Lopes |
| Nov 21, 2024 | Floresta 2-2 Ferroviario | Copa Fares Lopes |
Last archived meeting: Ferroviario vs Floresta on Feb 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ferroviario score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Floresta score 0.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferroviario | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Floresta | 0.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ferroviario sit 2nd in Cearense - 1 (8 points from 4 matches) and Floresta sit 2nd (7 points from 4 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2026 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ferroviario | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| 2 | Floresta | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
A question about Ferroviario vs Floresta?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ferroviario vs Floresta?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ferroviario the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Floresta.
- Where and when is Ferroviario vs Floresta played?
- Ferroviario vs Floresta is played on January 5, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal Presidente Getúlio Vargas, in the Cearense - 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.