Afragolese vs Monastir: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone GGroup G - 12Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Domenico Iorio, Casalnuovo
The Footlab AI model makes Monastir the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Afragolese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Monastir wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Afragolese vs Monastir?
A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Afragolese (1,683) and Monastir (1,773).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Afragolese vs Monastir
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Afragolese
Not enough data to predict the Afragolese lineup.
Monastir
Not enough data to predict the Monastir lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 09:05 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Afragolese have 2 wins, 8 draws and 5 defeats; Monastir have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sarrabus Ogliastra(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ossese(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Città di Anagni(away) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Venafro(home) | 4-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Paganese(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Latte Dolce(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Budoni(away) | 5-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Albalonga(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Aranova(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Anzio(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone G |
How many goals should we expect?
Afragolese score 0.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Monastir score 2.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Afragolese | 0.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Monastir | 2.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Afragolese sit 14th in Serie D - Girone G (6 points from 6 matches) and Monastir sit 2nd (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Monastir | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 13 |
| 14 | Afragolese | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 6 |
A question about Afragolese vs Monastir?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Afragolese vs Monastir?
- The Footlab AI model makes Monastir the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Afragolese.
- Where and when is Afragolese vs Monastir played?
- Afragolese vs Monastir is played on November 15, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Domenico Iorio, in the Serie D - Girone G.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.