Paganese vs Atletico Lodigiani: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone GGroup G - 12Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Marcello Torre, Pagani
The Footlab AI model makes Paganese the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Atletico Lodigiani. The most likely score is 1-1. If Paganese wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.4% of the 3,641 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Paganese vs Atletico Lodigiani?
Paganese starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (1,792 vs 1,648).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Paganese vs Atletico Lodigiani
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Paganese
Not enough data to predict the Paganese lineup.
Atletico Lodigiani
Not enough data to predict the Atletico Lodigiani lineup.
Computed on October 26, 2026 at 10:40 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paganese have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Atletico Lodigiani have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Città di Anagni(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Venafro(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Budoni(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Real Normanna(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sarnese(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Venafro(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Afragolese(away) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sarnese(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Unipomezia(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Trastevere(home) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone G |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Paganese win, 0 draws, 1 Atletico Lodigiani win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2025 | Atletico Lodigiani 3-1 Paganese | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 23, 2024 | Paganese 2-0 Atletico Lodigiani | Serie D - Girone G |
Last archived meeting: Atletico Lodigiani vs Paganese on Feb 23, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Paganese score 1.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico Lodigiani score 0.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paganese | 1.8 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Atletico Lodigiani | 0.9 | 1.8 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Paganese sit 6th in Serie D - Girone G (13 points from 9 matches) and Atletico Lodigiani sit 18th (2 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Paganese | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 12 | 13 |
| 18 | Atletico Lodigiani | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 2 |
A question about Paganese vs Atletico Lodigiani?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Paganese vs Atletico Lodigiani?
- The Footlab AI model makes Paganese the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Atletico Lodigiani.
- Where and when is Paganese vs Atletico Lodigiani played?
- Paganese vs Atletico Lodigiani is played on November 15, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Marcello Torre, in the Serie D - Girone G.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.