Afragolese vs Nocerina: result 3-1 and analysis
Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 6Kick-off on October 9, 2022 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Domenico Iorio, Casalnuovo
Full time
What was the result of Afragolese vs Nocerina?
Afragolese won 3-1 on October 9, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 13′?Afragolese (o.g.)
- 45′?Nocerina
- 56′?Afragolese (pen.)
- 63′?Afragolese
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Afragolese have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Nocerina have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2022 | Gravina(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 28, 2022 | Martina Franca(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 18, 2022 | Francavilla(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 11, 2022 | Cavese(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 4, 2022 | Bitonto(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2022 | Casarano(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 28, 2022 | Lavello(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 18, 2022 | Martina Franca(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 11, 2022 | Francavilla(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 4, 2022 | Gravina(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
How many goals should we expect?
Afragolese score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Nocerina score 1.2 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Afragolese | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Nocerina | 1.2 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nocerina | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 13 |
A question about Afragolese vs Nocerina?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy