Nocerina vs Real Normanna: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 15Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio San Francesco, Nocera Inferiore
The Footlab AI model makes Nocerina the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Real Normanna. The most likely score is 1-1. If Nocerina wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,623 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nocerina vs Real Normanna?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Nocerina (1,757) and Real Normanna (1,753).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Nocerina vs Real Normanna
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Nocerina
Not enough data to predict the Nocerina lineup.
Real Normanna
Not enough data to predict the Real Normanna lineup.
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 10:50 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nocerina have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Real Normanna have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Gravina(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Gladiator(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Martina Franca(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Brindisi(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Turris(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Real Forio 2014(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 28, 2026 | L'Aquila(home) | 6-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Turris(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Gladiator(away) | 3-3 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Fidelis Andria(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
How many goals should we expect?
Nocerina score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Real Normanna score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nocerina | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Real Normanna | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nocerina sit 9th in Serie D - Girone H (13 points from 10 matches) and Real Normanna sit 8th (13 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Real Normanna | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 16 | 13 |
| 9 | Nocerina | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 15 | 13 |
A question about Nocerina vs Real Normanna?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nocerina vs Real Normanna?
- The Footlab AI model makes Nocerina the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Real Normanna.
- Where and when is Nocerina vs Real Normanna played?
- Nocerina vs Real Normanna is played on December 6, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio San Francesco, in the Serie D - Girone H.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.