Aglianese vs Progresso: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie D - Girone DGroup D - 3Kick-off on October 2, 2021 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Germano Bellucci, Agliana
Full time
What was the result of Aglianese vs Progresso?
Aglianese won 2-1 on October 2, 2021.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aglianese have 4 wins, 9 draws and 2 defeats; Progresso have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2021 | Forli(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 22, 2021 | Scandicci(home) | 0-3 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Sep 19, 2021 | Tritium(home) | 4-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Mar 1, 2020 | Grassina(home) | 3-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Feb 23, 2020 | Scandicci(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2021 | Mezzolara(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 22, 2021 | Rimini(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Sep 19, 2021 | Correggese(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 12, 2021 | Cattolica Calcio 1923(home) | 2-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Feb 16, 2020 | Lentigione(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
How many goals should we expect?
Aglianese score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Progresso score 0.9 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aglianese | 1.5 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Progresso | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Progresso | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 41 | 36 |
A question about Aglianese vs Progresso?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy