Progresso vs Flaminia: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 15Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Progresso, Castel Maggiore
The Footlab AI model makes Flaminia the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Progresso. The most likely score is 1-1. If Flaminia wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,502 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Progresso vs Flaminia?
A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Progresso (1,642) and Flaminia (1,740).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Progresso vs Flaminia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Progresso
Not enough data to predict the Progresso lineup.
Flaminia
Not enough data to predict the Flaminia lineup.
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 07:31 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progresso have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Flaminia have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Ternana(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Grassina(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Robur Siena(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Rondinella(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Montevarchi Calcio(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Prato(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Mezzolara(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Seravezza(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Robur Siena(home) | 0-3 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Gavorrano(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
How many goals should we expect?
Progresso score 1.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Flaminia score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progresso | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Flaminia | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progresso sit 17th in Serie D - Girone E (3 points from 9 matches) and Flaminia sit 7th (13 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Flaminia | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| 17 | Progresso | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 3 |
A question about Progresso vs Flaminia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Progresso vs Flaminia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Flaminia the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Progresso.
- Where and when is Progresso vs Flaminia played?
- Progresso vs Flaminia is played on December 6, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Progresso, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 6, 2026TernanavsSasso Marconi Zola
- Dec 6, 2026LucchesevsPrato
- Dec 6, 2026Robur SienavsTerranuova Traiana
- Dec 6, 2026SeravezzavsScandicci
- Dec 6, 2026GrassinavsGhivizzano Borgo Mozzano
- Dec 6, 2026Montevarchi CalciovsGavorrano
- Dec 6, 2026Tau AltopasciovsMezzolara
- Dec 6, 2026RondinellavsSan Donato Tavarnelle