Agricola Borcea vs Recolta Gheorghe Doja: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 4Group 4 - 5Kick-off on September 23, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Comunal, Borcea
The Footlab model makes Agricola Borcea the favourite at 72%, against 16% for a draw and 12% for Recolta Gheorghe Doja. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Agricola Borcea vs Recolta Gheorghe Doja?
Agricola Borcea starts as the favourite with a 158-point Elo edge (1,520 vs 1,362).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Agricola Borcea have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Recolta Gheorghe Doja have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Unirea Slobozia(home) | 1-4 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Axiopolis(away) | 3-1 | Cupa României |
| May 23, 2026 | Ştefăneşti(home) | 0-4 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Olimpic Zărneşti(away) | 2-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 9, 2026 | Tricolorul Breaza(home) | 6-0 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Înainte Modelu(home) | 0-6 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Voluntari II(home) | 4-3 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 9, 2026 | Gloria Băneasa(away) | 5-1 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 2, 2026 | Progresul Fundulea(home) | 2-6 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | FCSB II(away) | 2-2 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Agricola Borcea win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Recolta Gheorghe Doja win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Recolta Gheorghe Doja 1-0 Agricola Borcea | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Agricola Borcea 4-3 Recolta Gheorghe Doja | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Recolta Gheorghe Doja 2-0 Agricola Borcea | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Agricola Borcea 0-4 Recolta Gheorghe Doja | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Aug 7, 2024 | Recolta Gheorghe Doja 2-2 Agricola Borcea | Cupa României |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Agricola Borcea 1-1 Recolta Gheorghe Doja | Liga III - Serie 3 |
Last archived meeting: Recolta Gheorghe Doja vs Agricola Borcea on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Agricola Borcea score 2.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Recolta Gheorghe Doja score 1.9 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agricola Borcea | 2.7 | 1.6 | 6 | 7/15 | 13/15 |
| Recolta Gheorghe Doja | 1.9 | 2.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Agricola Borcea vs Recolta Gheorghe Doja?
- The Footlab model makes Agricola Borcea the favourite at 72%, against 16% for a draw and 12% for Recolta Gheorghe Doja.
- Where and when is Agricola Borcea vs Recolta Gheorghe Doja played?
- Agricola Borcea vs Recolta Gheorghe Doja is played on September 23, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Comunal, in the Liga III - Serie 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.