FC Oţelul II vs Gloria Băneasa: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 4Group 4 - 5Kick-off on September 23, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Baza Sportivă Zoltan David, Galaţi
The Footlab model makes Gloria Băneasa the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for FC Oţelul II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Oţelul II vs Gloria Băneasa?
Gloria Băneasa starts as the favourite with a 131-point Elo edge (1,334 vs 1,203).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Oţelul II have 1 wins, 2 draws and 12 defeats; Gloria Băneasa have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Plopeni(away) | 0-4 | Liga III - Serie 2 |
| May 8, 2026 | Râmnicu Sărat(home) | 0-3 | Liga III - Serie 2 |
| May 2, 2026 | Victoria Traian(away) | 3-0 | Liga III - Serie 2 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Braila(home) | 3-3 | Liga III - Serie 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Păuleşti(away) | 2-2 | Liga III - Serie 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Dunarea Calarasi(home) | 1-3 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Axiopolis(away) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 9, 2026 | Recolta Gheorghe Doja(home) | 1-5 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 2, 2026 | Voluntari II(home) | 3-0 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Progresul Fundulea(away) | 1-4 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Oţelul II score 1.5 and concede 4.4 goals per match over their last 15; Gloria Băneasa score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Oţelul II | 1.5 | 4.4 | 1 | 9/15 | 15/15 |
| Gloria Băneasa | 1.1 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Oţelul II vs Gloria Băneasa?
- The Footlab model makes Gloria Băneasa the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for FC Oţelul II.
- Where and when is FC Oţelul II vs Gloria Băneasa played?
- FC Oţelul II vs Gloria Băneasa is played on September 23, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Baza Sportivă Zoltan David, in the Liga III - Serie 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.