Agrupación Estudiantil vs UD Ourense: result 3-2 and analysis
Tercera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 2nd Phase - 1Kick-off on April 21, 2021 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estatio Municipal de Santa Isabel, Santiago de Compostela
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What was the result of Agrupación Estudiantil vs UD Ourense?
Agrupación Estudiantil won 3-2 on April 21, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 49′Jorge Salgado PaísAgrupación Estudiantil
- 55′Rubén Márquez BarreiroAgrupación Estudiantil
- 71′Carlos Rodriguez MazairaUD Ourense
- 81′Anxo VilasAgrupación Estudiantil
- 86′Alvaro VillarinoUD Ourense
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Agrupación Estudiantil have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; UD Ourense have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2021 | Ourense CF(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Mar 28, 2021 | Fisterra(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Mar 21, 2021 | CD Lugo B(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Mar 14, 2021 | Deportivo La Coruña II(home) | 2-6 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Mar 7, 2021 | Bergantiños(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2021 | Arzúa(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 10, 2021 | Viveiro(home) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Mar 28, 2021 | Estradense(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Mar 21, 2021 | Atios(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Mar 14, 2021 | Choco(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Agrupación Estudiantil score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; UD Ourense score 1.2 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agrupación Estudiantil | 1.5 | 1.9 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| UD Ourense | 1.2 | 1.6 | 3 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy