Águilas Doradas vs Oriente Petrolero: result 1-1 and analysis
CONMEBOL Sudamericana1st RoundKick-off on March 22, 2019 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Estadio Alberto Grisales, Rionegro, Antioquia
Full time
What was the result of Águilas Doradas vs Oriente Petrolero?
Águilas Doradas and Oriente Petrolero drew 1-1 on March 22, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 12′L. MugniOriente Petrolero
- 81′L. MugniÁguilas Doradas (o.g.)
Official lineup for Águilas Doradas vs Oriente Petrolero
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Águilas Doradas
3-5-1-1- 22Jacobo Escobar
- 24J. Otálvaro
- 11L. Mosquera
- 5D. Contreras
- 15E. Blanco
- 8J. Obrian
- 21D. Muñoz
- 29C. Ramírez
- 6F. Ibargüen
- 23H. Mosquera
- 12J. Valencia
Oriente Petrolero
5-3-2- 18J. Castillo
- 10L. Mugni
- 8N. Palmieri
- 6C. Áñez
- 7Cleider Leandro Alzáte Correa
- 21J. Pérez
- 20Gustavo Olguín Mansilla
- 16R. Raldes
- 3Sergio Raphael
- 2O. Ribera
- 13J. Peñarrieta
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Águilas Doradas have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Oriente Petrolero have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2019 | Envigado(away) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Mar 10, 2019 | Envigado(home) | 1-3 | Primera A |
| Mar 3, 2019 | Santa Fe(away) | 2-2 | Primera A |
| Feb 28, 2019 | Independiente Medellin(home) | 0-1 | Primera A |
| Feb 24, 2019 | America de Cali(home) | 1-2 | Primera A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2019 | Aurora(away) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Mar 14, 2019 | Always Ready(home) | 4-1 | Primera División |
| Mar 9, 2019 | Bolívar(away) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Mar 2, 2019 | Blooming(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 24, 2019 | Nacional Potosí(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Águilas Doradas score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Oriente Petrolero score 1.4 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Águilas Doradas | 0.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Oriente Petrolero | 1.4 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy