Where and when is Águilas Doradas vs Independiente Medellin played?

Águilas Doradas vs Independiente Medellin is played on November 8, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Alberto Grisales, in the Primera A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Águilas Doradas vs Independiente Medellin: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 19Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Alberto Grisales, Rionegro, Antioquia

Águilas Doradas

Independiente Medellin

The Footlab model makes Águilas Doradas the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Independiente Medellin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Águilas Doradas vs Independiente Medellin?

A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Águilas Doradas (1,732) and Independiente Medellin (1,821).

Águilas Doradas win47 %

Draw27 %

Independiente Medellin win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Águilas Doradas have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Independiente Medellin have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Águilas Doradas
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Millonarios(home)	1-1	Primera A
Aug 19, 2026	Llaneros(home)	1-1	Primera A
Aug 1, 2026	Deportivo Pasto(away)	2-1	Primera A
Jul 26, 2026	Santa Fe(home)	2-1	Primera A
May 26, 2026	Real Soacha(away)	2-2	Copa Colombia

Independiente Medellin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Cucuta(home)	0-1	Primera A
Aug 4, 2026	Deportes Tolima(away)	3-2	Primera A
Aug 1, 2026	Deportivo Cali(home)	1-0	Primera A
Jul 29, 2026	Vasco DA Gama(away)	0-1	CONMEBOL Sudamericana
Jul 25, 2026	Deportivo Pasto(home)	3-2	Primera A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Águilas Doradas win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Independiente Medellin win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Independiente Medellin 1-2 Águilas Doradas	Primera A
Oct 8, 2025	Águilas Doradas 2-1 Independiente Medellin	Primera A
Mar 30, 2025	Independiente Medellin 0-0 Águilas Doradas	Primera A
Sep 15, 2024	Águilas Doradas 1-1 Independiente Medellin	Primera A
Mar 3, 2024	Independiente Medellin 1-0 Águilas Doradas	Primera A
Aug 26, 2023	Águilas Doradas 1-1 Independiente Medellin	Primera A

Last archived meeting: Independiente Medellin vs Águilas Doradas on May 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Águilas Doradas score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Independiente Medellin score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Águilas Doradas	1.4	1.4	2	11/15	9/15
Independiente Medellin	1.3	1.1	4	8/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Águilas Doradas sit 12th in Primera A (26 points from 19 matches) and Independiente Medellin sit 11th (26 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Independiente Medellin	4	3	0	1	7	5	9
6	Águilas Doradas	4	2	2	0	6	4	8
11	Independiente Medellin	19	7	5	7	26	24	26
11	Independiente Medellin	19	7	5	7	26	24	26
12	Águilas Doradas	19	7	5	7	20	25	26
12	Águilas Doradas	19	7	5	7	20	25	26

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Águilas Doradas vs Independiente Medellin?: The Footlab model makes Águilas Doradas the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Independiente Medellin.
Where and when is Águilas Doradas vs Independiente Medellin played?: Águilas Doradas vs Independiente Medellin is played on November 8, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Alberto Grisales, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.