Ahal vs Merw: result 4-0 and analysis
Ýokary LigaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on December 4, 2025 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Ahal Stadium, Abadan
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What was the result of Ahal vs Merw?
Ahal won 4-0 on December 4, 2025.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ahal have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Merw have 0, 5 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2025 | Şagadam(home) | 1-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Altyn Asyr(away) | 3-3 | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Şagadam(away) | 0-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 4, 2025 | Sepahan FC(away) | 2-2 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(away) | 4-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2025 | Arkadag(away) | 1-4 | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Nebitci(home) | 1-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Aşgabat(away) | 1-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(home) | 2-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Şagadam(away) | 0-2 | Ýokary Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Ahal win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Merw win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2025 | Ahal 0-0 Merw | Ýokary Liga |
| Jun 14, 2025 | Merw 1-3 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| Apr 11, 2025 | Ahal 3-0 Merw | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 30, 2024 | Merw 0-1 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| Aug 30, 2024 | Ahal 2-0 Merw | Ýokary Liga |
| May 1, 2024 | Ahal 5-1 Merw | Ýokary Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Ahal score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Merw score 0.5 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ahal | 1.2 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Merw | 0.5 | 1.6 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ahal sit 2nd in Ýokary Liga (55 points from 28 matches) and Merw sit 8th (11 points from 28 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ahal | 28 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 54 | 26 | 55 |
| 8 | Merw | 28 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 55 | 11 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy