Altyn Asyr vs Merw: prediction and stats
Ýokary LigaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on October 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Saparmyrat Türkmenbaşy Adyndaky Olimpiýa Stadiony, Ashgabat
The Footlab AI model makes Altyn Asyr the favourite at 84%, against 11% for a draw and 5% for Merw. The most likely score is 3-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Altyn Asyr vs Merw?
Altyn Asyr is a heavy favourite: 1,652 Elo points against 1,268, a 384-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Altyn Asyr vs Merw
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Altyn Asyr
4-2-3-1- 77S. Nurmuradov
- 4A. Annamyradov
- 10R. Myratberdiýew
- 7M. Annayev
- 8Ruslan Tajiyev
- 20Sohrat Durdyyev
- 3Ş. Söýünow
- 2Z. Babajanow
- 33H. Hojovov
- 25R. Rovshenmyradov
- 23D. Berdiyev
Merw
4-4-2- 8Y. Dovletgeldiyev
- 90M. Ýakşiýew
- 10K. Annamuhammedov
- 14D. Durdyyev
- 13I. Sekov
- 11M. Nazzyyev
- 4A. Mahmudov
- 2S. Bashimov
- 6A. Orazmuhammedov
- 9M. Atagarryyev
- 30M. Saparov
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 08:55 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Altyn Asyr have 12 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats; Merw have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Aşgabat(away) | 4-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Ahal(away) | 2-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Nebitci(away) | 4-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Şagadam(home) | 2-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Arkadag(home) | 2-5 | Ýokary Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Nebitci(away) | 0-3 | Ýokary Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Şagadam(away) | 2-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(home) | 0-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Aşgabat(home) | 3-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ahal(away) | 0-4 | Ýokary Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Altyn Asyr wins, 1 draw, 0 Merw wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Merw 0-2 Altyn Asyr | Ýokary Liga |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Altyn Asyr 2-0 Merw | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 15, 2025 | Altyn Asyr 3-2 Merw | Ýokary Liga |
| Aug 11, 2025 | Merw 0-0 Altyn Asyr | Ýokary Liga |
| May 13, 2025 | Altyn Asyr 2-0 Merw | Ýokary Liga |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Merw 0-1 Altyn Asyr | Ýokary Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Altyn Asyr score 2.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Merw score 0.7 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Altyn Asyr | 2.2 | 1.1 | 9 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Merw | 0.7 | 2.6 | 3 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Altyn Asyr sit 2nd in Ýokary Liga (44 points from 20 matches) and Merw sit 6th (18 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Altyn Asyr | 20 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 41 | 25 | 44 |
| 6 | Merw | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 23 | 59 | 18 |
A question about Altyn Asyr vs Merw?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Altyn Asyr vs Merw?
- The Footlab AI model makes Altyn Asyr the favourite at 84%, against 11% for a draw and 5% for Merw.
- Where and when is Altyn Asyr vs Merw played?
- Altyn Asyr vs Merw is played on October 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Saparmyrat Türkmenbaşy Adyndaky Olimpiýa Stadiony, in the Ýokary Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.