Ahal vs Nebitci: result 1-0 and analysis
Ýokary LigaMatchday 6Kick-off on May 2, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Ahal Stadium, Abadan
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What was the result of Ahal vs Nebitci?
Ahal won 1-0 on May 2, 2026.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ahal have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Nebitci have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Şagadam(away) | 3-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Altyn Asyr(home) | 0-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Arkadag(away) | 0-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(home) | 1-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Altyn Asyr(away) | 0-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Arkadag(home) | 0-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(away) | 1-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Aşgabat(home) | 1-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Merw(away) | 1-4 | Ýokary Liga |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Şagadam(away) | 0-1 | Ýokary Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Ahal wins, 0 draws, 0 Nebitci wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | Nebitci 0-3 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| Aug 6, 2025 | Ahal 2-0 Nebitci | Ýokary Liga |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Nebitci 0-1 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| Mar 4, 2025 | Ahal 2-0 Nebitci | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 26, 2024 | Ahal 2-0 Nebitci | Ýokary Liga |
| Sep 18, 2024 | Nebitci 0-2 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Ahal score 1.4 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Nebitci score 0.9 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ahal | 1.4 | 0.8 | 9 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Nebitci | 0.9 | 1.7 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ahal sit 3rd in Ýokary Liga (49 points from 25 matches) and Nebitci sit 5th (25 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ahal | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 54 | 28 | 49 |
| 5 | Nebitci | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 24 | 45 | 25 |
A question about Ahal vs Nebitci?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy