Ahal vs Nebitci: result 5-1 and analysis
Ýokary LigaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on October 19, 2022 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Ahal Stadium, Abadan
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What was the result of Ahal vs Nebitci?
Ahal won 5-1 on October 19, 2022.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ahal have 13 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats; Nebitci have 2, 1 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2022 | Aşgabat(home) | 4-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 8, 2022 | Merw(away) | 4-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 5, 2022 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(home) | 4-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Sep 30, 2022 | Şagadam(away) | 1-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Sep 17, 2022 | Energetik(away) | 4-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2022 | Altyn Asyr(away) | 1-4 | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 8, 2022 | Energetik(home) | 2-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 4, 2022 | Aşgabat(home) | 1-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Sep 29, 2022 | Merw(away) | 2-6 | Ýokary Liga |
| Sep 17, 2022 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(home) | 2-4 | Ýokary Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Ahal wins, 1 draw, 0 Nebitci wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2022 | Nebitci 1-4 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| Aug 2, 2022 | Ahal 7-0 Nebitci | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 26, 2021 | Nebitci 0-0 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 25, 2021 | Ahal 2-0 Nebitci | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 31, 2020 | Nebitci 1-2 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 3, 2020 | Ahal 3-0 Nebitci | Ýokary Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Ahal score 3.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Nebitci score 1.1 and concede 3.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ahal | 3.5 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Nebitci | 1.1 | 3.1 | 1 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ahal sit 3rd in Ýokary Liga (42 points from 22 matches) and Nebitci sit 5th (19 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ahal | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 50 | 28 | 42 |
| 5 | Nebitci | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 19 |
A question about Ahal vs Nebitci?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy