Ahal vs Şagadam: result 1-0 and analysis
Ýokary LigaRegular Season - 3Kick-off on March 10, 2024 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Ahal Stadium, Abadan
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What was the result of Ahal vs Şagadam?
Ahal won 1-0 on March 10, 2024.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ahal have 9 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats; Şagadam have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2024 | Merw(away) | 1-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Mar 4, 2024 | Energetik(home) | 5-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Rīgas FS(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 8, 2024 | Oleksandria(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Obolon'-Brovar(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2024 | Nebitci(home) | 1-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Mar 4, 2024 | Altyn Asyr(away) | 2-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 29, 2023 | Ahal(home) | 1-3 | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 27, 2023 | Nebitci(away) | 0-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 20, 2023 | Altyn Asyr(home) | 1-2 | Ýokary Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Ahal win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Şagadam win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2023 | Şagadam 1-3 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Ahal 1-2 Şagadam | Ýokary Liga |
| May 4, 2023 | Şagadam 1-0 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 7, 2022 | Şagadam 2-4 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 4, 2022 | Ahal 3-1 Şagadam | Ýokary Liga |
| Sep 30, 2022 | Şagadam 1-1 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Ahal score 1.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Şagadam score 0.9 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ahal | 1.8 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Şagadam | 0.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ahal sit 2nd in Ýokary Liga (55 points from 28 matches) and Şagadam sit 4th (40 points from 28 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ahal | 28 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 54 | 26 | 55 |
| 4 | Şagadam | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 40 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy