Ahal vs Şagadam: result 1-0 and analysis
Ýokary LigaRegular Season - 26Kick-off on December 1, 2025 at 10:30 AM (UTC)Ahal Stadium, Abadan
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What was the result of Ahal vs Şagadam?
Ahal won 1-0 on December 1, 2025.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ahal have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Şagadam have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | Altyn Asyr(away) | 3-3 | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Şagadam(away) | 0-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 4, 2025 | Sepahan FC(away) | 2-2 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(away) | 4-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Arkadag(home) | 0-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | Arkadag(away) | 0-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Ahal(home) | 0-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Nebitci(away) | 0-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Aşgabat(home) | 2-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(home) | 0-0 | Ýokary Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Ahal wins, 2 draws, 1 Şagadam win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2025 | Şagadam 0-0 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| May 30, 2025 | Ahal 1-1 Şagadam | Ýokary Liga |
| Apr 3, 2025 | Şagadam 1-2 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Şagadam 1-4 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 5, 2024 | Ahal 6-0 Şagadam | Ýokary Liga |
| May 4, 2024 | Şagadam 1-0 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Ahal score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Şagadam score 0.9 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ahal | 1.3 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Şagadam | 0.9 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ahal sit 3rd in Ýokary Liga (42 points from 22 matches) and Şagadam sit 4th (22 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ahal | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 50 | 28 | 42 |
| 4 | Şagadam | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 32 | 22 |
A question about Ahal vs Şagadam?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy