Arkadag vs Merw: result 4-1 and analysis
Ýokary LigaRegular Season - 26Kick-off on November 30, 2025 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Ahal merkezi sport toplumy, Arkadag şäheri
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What was the result of Arkadag vs Merw?
Arkadag won 4-1 on November 30, 2025.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arkadag have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeat; Merw have 0, 5 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | Andijan(away) | 1-1 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Şagadam(home) | 2-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Al Ahli Doha(home) | 1-1 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Ahal(away) | 1-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 22, 2025 | Al Ahli Doha(away) | 2-2 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | Nebitci(home) | 1-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Aşgabat(away) | 1-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(home) | 2-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Şagadam(away) | 0-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Sep 22, 2025 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(away) | 0-0 | Ýokary Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Arkadag wins, 0 draws, 0 Merw wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2025 | Merw 1-3 Arkadag | Ýokary Liga |
| May 30, 2025 | Merw 0-2 Arkadag | Ýokary Liga |
| Apr 2, 2025 | Arkadag 7-0 Merw | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Arkadag 5-0 Merw | Ýokary Liga |
| Sep 24, 2024 | Merw 1-8 Arkadag | Ýokary Liga |
| May 22, 2024 | Merw 0-2 Arkadag | Ýokary Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Arkadag score 2.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Merw score 0.5 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arkadag | 2.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Merw | 0.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arkadag sit 1st in Ýokary Liga (72 points from 24 matches) and Merw sit 6th (18 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arkadag | 24 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 97 | 12 | 72 |
| 6 | Merw | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 23 | 59 | 18 |
A question about Arkadag vs Merw?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy