Match

Ahrweiler vs TuS Koblenz: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / SaarRheinland-Pfalz/Saar - 23Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)

AhrweilerTuS Koblenz

The Footlab model makes TuS Koblenz the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Ahrweiler. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ahrweiler vs TuS Koblenz?

TuS Koblenz is a heavy favourite: 1,901 Elo points against 1,503 — a 398-point gap.

Ahrweiler win25 %
Draw22 %
TuS Koblenz win53 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 7 matches in all competitions, Ahrweiler have 0 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; TuS Koblenz have 10, 1 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ahrweiler
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Gau-Odernheim(away)1-2Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Aug 14, 2026FC Emmelshausen-Karbach(home)2-3Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Aug 8, 2026RW Wittlich(away)0-2Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Aug 2, 2026Schott Mainz(home)0-3Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Jul 25, 2026Eintracht Trier(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs
TuS Koblenz
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026RW Wittlich(home)4-2Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Aug 15, 2026Gonsenheim(away)1-0Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Aug 7, 2026Auersmacher(home)4-0Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Aug 1, 2026Elversberg II(away)2-0Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Jul 15, 2026Borussia M'gladbach II(away)4-3Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Ahrweiler score 0.7 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 7; TuS Koblenz score 2.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ahrweiler0.72.404/74/7
TuS Koblenz2.51.7411/1512/15

Over the last 7 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ahrweiler sit 17th in Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar (0 points from 4 matches) and TuS Koblenz sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1TuS Koblenz440011212
17Ahrweiler40043100

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ahrweiler vs TuS Koblenz?
The Footlab model makes TuS Koblenz the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Ahrweiler.
Where and when is Ahrweiler vs TuS Koblenz played?
Ahrweiler vs TuS Koblenz is played on March 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Ahrweiler and TuS Koblenz

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