Match

TuS Koblenz vs Ahrweiler: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / SaarRheinland-Pfalz/Saar - 6Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Oberwerth, Koblenz

TuS KoblenzAhrweiler

The Footlab model makes TuS Koblenz the favourite at 75%, against 15% for a draw and 10% for Ahrweiler. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win TuS Koblenz vs Ahrweiler?

TuS Koblenz is a heavy favourite: 1,896 Elo points against 1,511 — a 385-point gap.

TuS Koblenz win75 %
Draw15 %
Ahrweiler win10 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TuS Koblenz have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Ahrweiler have 0, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

TuS Koblenz
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026RW Wittlich(home)4-2Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Aug 15, 2026Gonsenheim(away)1-0Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Aug 7, 2026Auersmacher(home)4-0Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Aug 1, 2026Elversberg II(away)2-0Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Jul 15, 2026Borussia M'gladbach II(away)4-3Friendlies Clubs
Ahrweiler
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 14, 2026FC Emmelshausen-Karbach(home)2-3Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Aug 8, 2026RW Wittlich(away)0-2Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Aug 2, 2026Schott Mainz(home)0-3Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Jul 25, 2026Eintracht Trier(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 1, 2023FV Engers 07(away)1-5Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

TuS Koblenz score 2.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ahrweiler score 0.7 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
TuS Koblenz2.51.7411/1512/15
Ahrweiler0.72.503/63/6

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

TuS Koblenz sit 1st in Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar (12 points from 4 matches) and Ahrweiler sit 17th (0 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1TuS Koblenz440011212
17Ahrweiler3003280

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for TuS Koblenz vs Ahrweiler?
The Footlab model makes TuS Koblenz the favourite at 75%, against 15% for a draw and 10% for Ahrweiler.
Where and when is TuS Koblenz vs Ahrweiler played?
TuS Koblenz vs Ahrweiler is played on September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Oberwerth, in the Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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