TuS Koblenz vs Ahrweiler: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / SaarRheinland-Pfalz/Saar - 6Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Oberwerth, Koblenz
The Footlab model makes TuS Koblenz the favourite at 75%, against 15% for a draw and 10% for Ahrweiler. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win TuS Koblenz vs Ahrweiler?
TuS Koblenz is a heavy favourite: 1,896 Elo points against 1,511 — a 385-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TuS Koblenz have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Ahrweiler have 0, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | RW Wittlich(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gonsenheim(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Auersmacher(home) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Elversberg II(away) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Borussia M'gladbach II(away) | 4-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Emmelshausen-Karbach(home) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 8, 2026 | RW Wittlich(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Schott Mainz(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Eintracht Trier(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 1, 2023 | FV Engers 07(away) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
TuS Koblenz score 2.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ahrweiler score 0.7 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TuS Koblenz | 2.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Ahrweiler | 0.7 | 2.5 | 0 | 3/6 | 3/6 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
TuS Koblenz sit 1st in Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar (12 points from 4 matches) and Ahrweiler sit 17th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TuS Koblenz | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 12 |
| 17 | Ahrweiler | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for TuS Koblenz vs Ahrweiler?
- The Footlab model makes TuS Koblenz the favourite at 75%, against 15% for a draw and 10% for Ahrweiler.
- Where and when is TuS Koblenz vs Ahrweiler played?
- TuS Koblenz vs Ahrweiler is played on September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Oberwerth, in the Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 4, 2026DiefflenvsAuersmacher
- Sep 4, 2026FV Engers 07vsCosmos Koblenz
- Sep 5, 2026Wormatia WormsvsRW Wittlich
- Sep 5, 2026MechtersheimvsGonsenheim
- Sep 5, 2026FC Emmelshausen-KarbachvsTuS RW Koblenz
- Sep 5, 2026Hertha WiesbachvsGau-Odernheim
- Sep 5, 2026Schott MainzvsPirmasens
- Sep 5, 2026EisbachtalvsElversberg II