Ahrweiler vs TuS RW Koblenz: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / SaarRheinland-Pfalz/Saar - 9Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes TuS RW Koblenz the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for Ahrweiler. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ahrweiler vs TuS RW Koblenz?
TuS RW Koblenz is a heavy favourite: 1,820 Elo points against 1,503, a 317-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 7 matches in all competitions, Ahrweiler have 0 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; TuS RW Koblenz have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gau-Odernheim(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Emmelshausen-Karbach(home) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 8, 2026 | RW Wittlich(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Schott Mainz(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Eintracht Trier(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Eisbachtal(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Diefflen(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mechtersheim(away) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wormatia Worms(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| May 23, 2026 | Eppelborn(away) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
How many goals should we expect?
Ahrweiler score 0.7 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 7; TuS RW Koblenz score 2.6 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ahrweiler | 0.7 | 2.4 | 0 | 4/7 | 4/7 |
| TuS RW Koblenz | 2.6 | 1.6 | 3 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 7 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ahrweiler sit 17th in Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar (0 points from 4 matches) and TuS RW Koblenz sit 4th (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | TuS RW Koblenz | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 9 |
| 17 | Ahrweiler | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ahrweiler vs TuS RW Koblenz?
- The Footlab model makes TuS RW Koblenz the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for Ahrweiler.
- Where and when is Ahrweiler vs TuS RW Koblenz played?
- Ahrweiler vs TuS RW Koblenz is played on September 20, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC), in the Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026TuS KoblenzvsMechtersheim
- Sep 19, 2026PirmasensvsCosmos Koblenz
- Sep 19, 2026Hertha WiesbachvsWormatia Worms
- Sep 19, 2026AuersmachervsFC Emmelshausen-Karbach
- Sep 19, 2026RW WittlichvsEisbachtal
- Sep 20, 2026GonsenheimvsSchott Mainz
- Sep 20, 2026Elversberg IIvsFV Engers 07
- Sep 20, 2026Gau-OdernheimvsDiefflen