Gonsenheim vs Schott Mainz: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / SaarRheinland-Pfalz/Saar - 9Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sportplatz am Wildpark, Mainz
The Footlab model makes Schott Mainz the favourite at 39%, against 22% for a draw and 38% for Gonsenheim. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gonsenheim vs Schott Mainz?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Gonsenheim (1,747) and Schott Mainz (1,846).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gonsenheim have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Schott Mainz have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hertha Wiesbach(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 15, 2026 | TuS Koblenz(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Gau-Odernheim(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 2, 2026 | RW Wittlich(home) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| May 30, 2026 | Auersmacher(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach(home) | 0-5 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FV Engers 07(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Cosmos Koblenz(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Emmelshausen-Karbach(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ahrweiler(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Gonsenheim win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Schott Mainz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2025 | Schott Mainz 6-0 Gonsenheim | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Gonsenheim 0-2 Schott Mainz | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Oct 15, 2022 | Schott Mainz 1-1 Gonsenheim | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 10, 2022 | Gonsenheim 1-0 Schott Mainz | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Nov 16, 2021 | Gonsenheim 1-4 Schott Mainz | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 30, 2020 | Gonsenheim 3-3 Schott Mainz | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Schott Mainz vs Gonsenheim on May 17, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Gonsenheim score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Schott Mainz score 1.8 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gonsenheim | 1.6 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Schott Mainz | 1.8 | 2.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gonsenheim sit 16th in Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar (3 points from 4 matches) and Schott Mainz sit 2nd (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Schott Mainz | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 10 |
| 16 | Gonsenheim | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gonsenheim vs Schott Mainz?
- The Footlab model makes Schott Mainz the favourite at 39%, against 22% for a draw and 38% for Gonsenheim.
- Where and when is Gonsenheim vs Schott Mainz played?
- Gonsenheim vs Schott Mainz is played on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz am Wildpark, in the Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026TuS KoblenzvsMechtersheim
- Sep 19, 2026PirmasensvsCosmos Koblenz
- Sep 19, 2026Hertha WiesbachvsWormatia Worms
- Sep 19, 2026AuersmachervsFC Emmelshausen-Karbach
- Sep 19, 2026RW WittlichvsEisbachtal
- Sep 20, 2026AhrweilervsTuS RW Koblenz
- Sep 20, 2026Elversberg IIvsFV Engers 07
- Sep 20, 2026Gau-OdernheimvsDiefflen