AIK W vs Hammarby W: prediction and stats
DamallsvenskanRegular Season - 19Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Skytteholms IP, Solna
The Footlab model makes Hammarby W the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for AIK W. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AIK W vs Hammarby W?
Hammarby W is a heavy favourite: 2,090 Elo points against 1,754 — a 336-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AIK W have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Hammarby W have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Häcken W(away) | 1-4 | Damallsvenskan |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vittsjö W(home) | 1-2 | Damallsvenskan |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Brommapojkarna W(home) | 1-0 | Damallsvenskan |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kristianstad W(away) | 0-3 | Damallsvenskan |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Eskilstuna United W(home) | 1-0 | Damallsvenskan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Malmö FF W(away) | 1-1 | Damallsvenskan |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Piteå W(home) | 5-0 | Damallsvenskan |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Juventus W(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Champions League Women |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Apolonia Fier W(home) | 4-0 | UEFA Champions League Women |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Växjö W(home) | 5-0 | Damallsvenskan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 AIK W win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Hammarby W win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 17, 2026 | Hammarby W 4-1 AIK W | Damallsvenskan |
| Oct 3, 2025 | Hammarby W 1-0 AIK W | Damallsvenskan |
| May 10, 2025 | AIK W 1-0 Hammarby W | Damallsvenskan |
| Jul 5, 2024 | Hammarby W 4-0 AIK W | Damallsvenskan |
| Jun 23, 2024 | AIK W 0-2 Hammarby W | Damallsvenskan |
| Mar 16, 2024 | AIK W 0-4 Hammarby W | Svenska Cupen - Women |
How many goals should we expect?
AIK W score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Hammarby W score 2.3 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIK W | 1.5 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Hammarby W | 2.3 | 0.6 | 8 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AIK W sit 4th in Damallsvenskan (24 points from 15 matches) and Hammarby W sit 2nd (38 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Hammarby W | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 37 | 7 | 38 |
| 2 | Hammarby W | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 37 | 7 | 38 |
| 4 | AIK W | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 24 | 24 |
| 4 | AIK W | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 24 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AIK W vs Hammarby W?
- The Footlab model makes Hammarby W the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for AIK W.
- Where and when is AIK W vs Hammarby W played?
- AIK W vs Hammarby W is played on September 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Skytteholms IP, in the Damallsvenskan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.