Match

Airdrie United vs Hamilton Academical: prediction and stats

League OneMatchday 30Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Albert Bartlett Stadium, Airdrie

Airdrie UnitedHamilton Academical

The Footlab AI model makes Hamilton Academical the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Airdrie United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Hamilton Academical wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 6,436 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Airdrie United vs Hamilton Academical?

A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Airdrie United (1,576) and Hamilton Academical (1,634).

28%27%45%
Airdrie United winDrawHamilton Academical win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Airdrie United vs Hamilton Academical

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Airdrie United

4-1-2-1-2
  1. 25J. Gentles
  2. 10M. Yates
  1. 27L. Gibson
  2. 16C. Smith
  3. 4C. Ross
  4. 8G. Gallagher
  1. 5S. Fisher
  2. 31D. Gallagher
  3. 2D. MacDonald
  4. 24R. Tumilty
  1. 20C. Melrose

Hamilton Academical

4-3-3
  1. 29A. Ryan
  2. 7D. Thomas
  3. 27S. McKinstry
  1. 17S. Bannigan
  2. 6C. Blues
  3. 21G. Crookston
  1. 33S. Hendrie
  2. 2A. Comrie
  3. 3T. Gallacher
  4. 8K. MacDonald
  1. 1D. Lyness

Computed on November 15, 2026 at 08:16 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Airdrie United have 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; Hamilton Academical have 10, 3 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Airdrie United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 14, 2026Queen of the South(home)2-0League One
Nov 7, 2026Alloa Athletic(away)3-2League One
Nov 3, 2026Elgin City(home)5-0Challenge Cup
Oct 31, 2026Cove Rangers(home)0-1League One
Oct 24, 2026Ross County(away)0-4League One
Hamilton Academical
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 14, 2026Ross County(home)1-2League One
Nov 7, 2026Cove Rangers(away)0-4League One
Nov 3, 2026Raith Rovers(home)1-1Challenge Cup
Oct 31, 2026Montrose(home)1-1League One
Oct 27, 2026Ross County(away)1-1League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Airdrie United wins, 0 draws, 4 Hamilton Academical wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Airdrie United 1-2 Hamilton AcademicalLeague One
Aug 15, 2026Hamilton Academical 4-0 Airdrie UnitedLeague One
Nov 29, 2025Airdrie United 4-0 Hamilton AcademicalFA Cup
Mar 8, 2025Airdrie United 2-1 Hamilton AcademicalChampionship
Dec 28, 2024Hamilton Academical 3-2 Airdrie UnitedChampionship
Nov 2, 2024Airdrie United 0-4 Hamilton AcademicalChampionship

Last archived meeting: Airdrie United vs Hamilton Academical on Oct 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Airdrie United score 2.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Hamilton Academical score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Airdrie United2.31.258/1510/15
Hamilton Academical1.90.968/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Airdrie United sit 5th in League One (19 points from 15 matches) and Hamilton Academical sit 2nd (33 points from 15 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Hamilton Academical151032281233
5Airdrie United15546152219

A question about Airdrie United vs Hamilton Academical?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Airdrie United vs Hamilton Academical?
The Footlab AI model makes Hamilton Academical the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Airdrie United.
Where and when is Airdrie United vs Hamilton Academical played?
Airdrie United vs Hamilton Academical is played on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Albert Bartlett Stadium, in the League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Airdrie United and Hamilton Academical