Ajax vs Excelsior: result 1-2 and analysis
EredivisieRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2025 at 05:45 PM (UTC)Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam
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What was the result of Ajax vs Excelsior?
Excelsior won 1-2 on November 22, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 37′N. NaujoksExcelsior
- 46′N. NaujoksExcelsior
- 59′K. DolbergAjax
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ajax have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Excelsior have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | Utrecht(away) | 1-2 | Eredivisie |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Galatasaray(home) | 0-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Heerenveen(home) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Twente(away) | 3-2 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 22, 2025 | Chelsea(away) | 1-5 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | Heracles(home) | 1-2 | Eredivisie |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Telstar(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Excelsior Maassluis(away) | 0-1 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 26, 2025 | GO Ahead Eagles(away) | 0-2 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Fortuna Sittard(home) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Ajax win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Excelsior win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2024 | Ajax 2-2 Excelsior | Eredivisie |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Excelsior 2-2 Ajax | Eredivisie |
| Jan 29, 2023 | Excelsior 1-4 Ajax | Eredivisie |
| Oct 16, 2022 | Ajax 7-1 Excelsior | Eredivisie |
| Apr 13, 2019 | Ajax 6-2 Excelsior | Eredivisie |
| Nov 11, 2018 | Excelsior 1-7 Ajax | Eredivisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Ajax score 1.4 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Excelsior score 0.9 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ajax | 1.4 | 2.1 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Excelsior | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ajax sit 4th in Eredivisie (4 points from 2 matches) and Excelsior sit 10th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ajax | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 10 | Excelsior | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy