Feyenoord vs Ajax: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Feijenoord, Rotterdam
The Footlab AI model makes Feyenoord the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Ajax. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Feyenoord vs Ajax?
On Elo ratings, Feyenoord has 2,143 points and Ajax 2,111.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Feyenoord vs Ajax
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Feyenoord
4-3-3- 10L. Valente
- 23A. Hadj-Moussa
- 19Nacho Ferri
- 8G. Zechiël
- 34C. Vanhoutte
- 28O. Targhalline
- 35Mika Màrmol
- 26G. Read
- 6J. St. Juste
- 4T. Watanabe
- 1T. Ernst
Ajax
4-3-3- 10O. Gloukh
- 99T. Arokodare
- 11V. Tsygankov
- 8J. Brandt
- 24J. Mokio
- 4S. Amrabat
- 15Y. Baas
- 6T. Kehrer
- 2Lucas Rosa
- 5O. Wijndal
- 1M. ter Stegen
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 01:01 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Feyenoord have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat; Ajax have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(home) | 2-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Utrecht(home) | 5-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | PEC Zwolle(away) | 7-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Barcelona(away) | 1-5 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(away) | 3-1 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(home) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Excelsior(home) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Willem II(home) | 5-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(away) | 5-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 5, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(home) | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Feyenoord wins, 1 draw, 3 Ajax wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Feyenoord 1-1 Ajax | Eredivisie |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Ajax 2-0 Feyenoord | Eredivisie |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Ajax 2-1 Feyenoord | Eredivisie |
| Oct 30, 2024 | Feyenoord 0-2 Ajax | Eredivisie |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Feyenoord 6-0 Ajax | Eredivisie |
| Sep 27, 2023 | Ajax 0-4 Feyenoord | Eredivisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Feyenoord score 3.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ajax score 3.0 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord | 3.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Ajax | 3.0 | 1.4 | 2 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Feyenoord sit 1st in Eredivisie (20 points from 8 matches) and Ajax sit 5th (15 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 7 | 20 |
| 5 | Ajax | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 10 | 15 |
A question about Feyenoord vs Ajax?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Feyenoord vs Ajax?
- The Footlab AI model makes Feyenoord the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Ajax.
- Where and when is Feyenoord vs Ajax played?
- Feyenoord vs Ajax is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Feijenoord, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.