Ajax vs Heerenveen: result 3-1 and analysis
KNVB BekerQuarter-finalsKick-off on January 24, 2019 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam
Full time
What was the result of Ajax vs Heerenveen?
Ajax won 3-1 on January 24, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 3′N. MazraouiAjax
- 16′D. van de BeekAjax
- 38′D. van de BeekAjax
- 84′P. van AmersfoortHeerenveen
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ajax have 11 wins, 4 draws and 0 defeats; Heerenveen have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2019 | Heerenveen(home) | 4-4 | Eredivisie |
| Dec 23, 2018 | Utrecht(away) | 3-1 | Eredivisie |
| Dec 19, 2018 | Roda(away) | 2-2 | KNVB Beker |
| Dec 16, 2018 | De Graafschap(home) | 8-0 | Eredivisie |
| Dec 12, 2018 | Bayern München(home) | 3-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2019 | Ajax(away) | 4-4 | Eredivisie |
| Dec 22, 2018 | NAC Breda(away) | 2-4 | Eredivisie |
| Dec 19, 2018 | HSV ODIN 59(away) | 3-1 | KNVB Beker |
| Dec 16, 2018 | Utrecht(home) | 2-3 | Eredivisie |
| Dec 8, 2018 | Willem II(away) | 5-1 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Ajax win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Heerenveen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2019 | Ajax 4-4 Heerenveen | Eredivisie |
| Oct 20, 2018 | Heerenveen 0-4 Ajax | Eredivisie |
| Mar 11, 2018 | Ajax 4-1 Heerenveen | Eredivisie |
| Oct 1, 2017 | Heerenveen 0-4 Ajax | Eredivisie |
| Apr 16, 2017 | Ajax 5-1 Heerenveen | Eredivisie |
| Nov 27, 2016 | Heerenveen 0-1 Ajax | Eredivisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Ajax score 3.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Heerenveen score 2.2 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ajax | 3.4 | 0.9 | 7 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Heerenveen | 2.2 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy