Heerenveen vs Cambuur: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen
The Footlab AI model makes Heerenveen the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Cambuur. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Heerenveen vs Cambuur?
Heerenveen starts as the favourite with a 171-point Elo edge (1,974 vs 1,803).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Heerenveen vs Cambuur
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Heerenveen
4-2-3-1- 9D. Vente
- 20J. Trenskow
- 7M. Rivera
- 36N. Courtens
- 14L. Smans
- 16M. Linday
- 4S. Kersten
- 19V. Zagaritis
- 3M. Willemsen
- 45O. Braude
- 22B. Klaverboer
Cambuur
4-2-3-1- 33M. Maertens
- 8N. Souren
- 10R. El Arguioui
- 11I. Hamache
- 15F. Kvam
- 17Ethan Apkakou
- 4I. Baouf
- 28M. Costarelli
- 14B. van Duijl
- 2D. Bouah
- 1T. Jansen
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:44 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Heerenveen have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Cambuur have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(away) | 0-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(away) | 4-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Telstar(home) | 0-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 6, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(home) | 2-3 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Willem II(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | PEC Zwolle(away) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(home) | 3-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Telstar(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Twente(home) | 1-4 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Heerenveen wins, 1 draw, 0 Cambuur wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2023 | Cambuur 1-2 Heerenveen | Eredivisie |
| Nov 13, 2022 | Heerenveen 2-1 Cambuur | Eredivisie |
| May 1, 2022 | Heerenveen 3-3 Cambuur | Eredivisie |
| Dec 19, 2021 | Cambuur 1-2 Heerenveen | Eredivisie |
| Jan 31, 2016 | Cambuur 0-1 Heerenveen | Eredivisie |
| Nov 1, 2015 | Heerenveen 2-0 Cambuur | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: Cambuur vs Heerenveen on Feb 19, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Heerenveen score 2.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Cambuur score 1.4 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heerenveen | 2.0 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Cambuur | 1.4 | 2.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Heerenveen sit 10th in Eredivisie (9 points from 8 matches) and Cambuur sit 12th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Heerenveen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 9 |
| 12 | Cambuur | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 8 |
A question about Heerenveen vs Cambuur?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Heerenveen vs Cambuur?
- The Footlab AI model makes Heerenveen the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Cambuur.
- Where and when is Heerenveen vs Cambuur played?
- Heerenveen vs Cambuur is played on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Abe Lenstra Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.