Ajax vs Liverpool: result 0-1 and analysis
UEFA Champions LeagueGroup D - 1Kick-off on October 21, 2020 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam
Full time
What was the result of Ajax vs Liverpool?
Liverpool won 0-1 on October 21, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 35′N. TagliaficoLiverpool (o.g.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ajax have 13 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Liverpool have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2020 | Heerenveen(home) | 5-1 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 4, 2020 | Groningen(away) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 26, 2020 | Vitesse(home) | 2-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 20, 2020 | Waalwijk(home) | 3-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 13, 2020 | Sparta Rotterdam(away) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2020 | Everton(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 4, 2020 | Aston Villa(away) | 2-7 | Premier League |
| Oct 1, 2020 | Arsenal(home) | 0-0 | League Cup |
| Sep 28, 2020 | Arsenal(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 24, 2020 | Lincoln(away) | 7-2 | League Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Ajax score 2.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Liverpool score 2.6 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ajax | 2.9 | 0.8 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Liverpool | 2.6 | 1.7 | 3 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ajax sit 32nd in UEFA Champions League (6 points from 8 matches) and Liverpool sit 3rd (18 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Liverpool | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 8 | 18 |
| 32 | Ajax | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy