Liverpool vs Sunderland: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on December 2, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Anfield, Liverpool
The Footlab AI model makes Liverpool the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Sunderland. The most likely score is 1-1. If Liverpool wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,604 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Liverpool vs Sunderland?
Liverpool starts as the favourite with a 192-point Elo edge (2,217 vs 2,025).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Liverpool vs Sunderland
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Liverpool
4-2-3-1- 9A. Isak
- 10A. Mac Allister
- 29B. Barcola
- 42T. Nyoni
- 18C. Gakpo
- 7F. Wirtz
- 4V. van Dijk
- 5Jérémy Jacquet
- 33R. Araújo
- 6M. Kerkez
- 1Alisson Becker
Sunderland
4-2-3-1- 9B. Brobbey
- 34G. Xhaka
- 10N. Angulo
- 11C. Rigg
- 27N. Sadiki
- 28E. Le Fée
- 15O. Alderete
- 32T. Hume
- 17Reinildo
- 13L. O'Nien
- 22R. Roefs
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 08:21 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Liverpool have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Sunderland have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | Fenerbahçe(away) | 2-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Arsenal(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Chelsea(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Brighton(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Villarreal(home) | 4-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb(home) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Coventry(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Brentford(home) | 3-2 | League Cup |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Leeds(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Lech Poznan(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Liverpool wins, 3 draws, 0 Sunderland wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Liverpool 4-2 Sunderland | Premier League - Summer Series |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Sunderland 0-1 Liverpool | Premier League |
| Dec 3, 2025 | Liverpool 1-1 Sunderland | Premier League |
| Jan 2, 2017 | Sunderland 2-2 Liverpool | Premier League |
| Nov 26, 2016 | Liverpool 2-0 Sunderland | Premier League |
| Feb 6, 2016 | Liverpool 2-2 Sunderland | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Liverpool vs Sunderland on Jul 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Liverpool score 1.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Sunderland score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 1.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Sunderland | 1.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Liverpool sit 5th in Premier League (15 points from 9 matches) and Sunderland sit 20th (5 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Liverpool | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 15 |
| 20 | Sunderland | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 5 |
A question about Liverpool vs Sunderland?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Liverpool vs Sunderland?
- The Footlab AI model makes Liverpool the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Sunderland.
- Where and when is Liverpool vs Sunderland played?
- Liverpool vs Sunderland is played on December 2, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Anfield, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.