Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen: result 4-1 and analysis
EredivisieRegular Season - 28Kick-off on March 31, 2013 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam
Full time
What was the result of Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen?
Ajax won 4-1 on March 31, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 21′V. FischerAjax
- 25′R. van EijdenAjax (o.g.)
- 77′V. FischerAjax
- 78′N. van der VeldenNEC Nijmegen
- 81′R. BabelAjax
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ajax have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; NEC Nijmegen have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2013 | AZ Alkmaar(away) | 3-2 | Eredivisie |
| Mar 10, 2013 | PEC Zwolle(home) | 3-0 | Eredivisie |
| Mar 2, 2013 | Twente(away) | 2-0 | Eredivisie |
| Feb 24, 2013 | ADO Den Haag(home) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Feb 17, 2013 | Waalwijk(away) | 2-0 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2013 | Heerenveen(home) | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
| Mar 9, 2013 | Heracles(away) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
| Mar 3, 2013 | Feyenoord(home) | 0-3 | Eredivisie |
| Feb 22, 2013 | Willem II(away) | 3-2 | Eredivisie |
| Feb 15, 2013 | VVV Venlo(home) | 1-2 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Ajax win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 NEC Nijmegen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2012 | NEC Nijmegen 1-6 Ajax | Eredivisie |
| Feb 19, 2012 | Ajax 4-1 NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie |
| Nov 27, 2011 | NEC Nijmegen 0-3 Ajax | Eredivisie |
| Apr 17, 2011 | NEC Nijmegen 1-2 Ajax | Eredivisie |
| Dec 4, 2010 | Ajax 1-1 NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Ajax score 2.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; NEC Nijmegen score 1.1 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ajax | 2.1 | 1.0 | 7 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| NEC Nijmegen | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ajax sit 6th in Eredivisie (4 points from 2 matches) and NEC Nijmegen sit 11th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ajax | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 11 | NEC Nijmegen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy