Ajax W vs PSV/Eindhoven W: prediction and stats
Eredivisie WomenRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 10:15 AM (UTC)Sportpark De Toekomst, Amsterdam-Duivendrecht
The Footlab AI model makes PSV/Eindhoven W the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Ajax W. The most likely score is 1-1. If PSV/Eindhoven W wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ajax W vs PSV/Eindhoven W?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Ajax W (1,936) and PSV/Eindhoven W (1,922).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ajax W vs PSV/Eindhoven W
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ajax W
4-3-3- 9K. Snoeijs
- 26Xanne Kip
- 7R. Derks
- 8S. Spitse
- 19M. van Koppen
- 6N. Noordam
- 15E. Touon
- 5A. Knol
- 12J. van Hensbergen
- 4S. Kees
- 28F. Liefting
PSV/Eindhoven W
4-3-3- 18L. Rijsbergen
- 21S. van de Sanden
- 7P. Marfo
- 17L. Jacobs
- 8S. Folkertsma
- 30R. Renfurm
- 19J. Cayman
- 2S. Thrige
- 3G. Hendriks
- 5M. Bross
- 1N. Evrard
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 02:05 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ajax W have 11 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; PSV/Eindhoven W have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Feyenoord W(away) | 4-1 | Eredivisie Women |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Aktobe W(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Cup - Women |
| Sep 26, 2026 | ADO Den Haag W(home) | 7-1 | Eredivisie Women |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Aktobe W(home) | 8-0 | UEFA Europa Cup - Women |
| Sep 19, 2026 | AZ W(home) | 5-1 | Eredivisie Women |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | ADO Den Haag W(away) | 3-0 | Eredivisie Women |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Fortuna Hjørring W(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Cup - Women |
| Sep 26, 2026 | De Graafschap W(home) | 4-0 | Eredivisie Women |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Fortuna Hjørring W(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Cup - Women |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Twente W(home) | 0-4 | Eredivisie Women |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ajax W wins, 2 draws, 2 PSV/Eindhoven W wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | PSV/Eindhoven W 1-1 Ajax W | Eredivisie Women |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Ajax W 2-1 PSV/Eindhoven W | Eredivisie Women |
| Mar 22, 2025 | PSV/Eindhoven W 3-1 Ajax W | Eredivisie Women |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Ajax W 0-2 PSV/Eindhoven W | Eredivisie Women |
| May 1, 2024 | Ajax W 2-1 PSV/Eindhoven W | Eredivisie Women |
| Dec 9, 2023 | PSV/Eindhoven W 3-3 Ajax W | Eredivisie Women |
Last archived meeting: PSV/Eindhoven W vs Ajax W on Apr 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ajax W score 2.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; PSV/Eindhoven W score 2.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ajax W | 2.6 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| PSV/Eindhoven W | 2.0 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ajax W sit 2nd in Eredivisie Women (18 points from 7 matches) and PSV/Eindhoven W sit 3rd (13 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ajax W | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 6 | 18 |
| 3 | PSV/Eindhoven W | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 8 | 13 |
A question about Ajax W vs PSV/Eindhoven W?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ajax W vs PSV/Eindhoven W?
- The Footlab AI model makes PSV/Eindhoven W the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Ajax W.
- Where and when is Ajax W vs PSV/Eindhoven W played?
- Ajax W vs PSV/Eindhoven W is played on October 18, 2026 at 10:15 AM (UTC) at Sportpark De Toekomst, in the Eredivisie Women.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.