Ajax W vs Utrecht W: prediction and stats
Eredivisie WomenRegular Season - 12Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 03:45 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Toekomst, Amsterdam-Duivendrecht
The Footlab AI model makes Ajax W the favourite at 78%, against 14% for a draw and 8% for Utrecht W. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,746 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ajax W vs Utrecht W?
Ajax W starts as the favourite with a 263-point Elo edge (1,916 vs 1,652).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ajax W vs Utrecht W
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ajax W
4-3-3- 9K. Snoeijs
- 26Xanne Kip
- 7R. Derks
- 8S. Spitse
- 19M. van Koppen
- 6N. Noordam
- 15E. Touon
- 5A. Knol
- 12J. van Hensbergen
- 4S. Kees
- 28F. Liefting
Utrecht W
4-3-3- 9N. Tromp
- 19L. Loonen
- 10M. Snellenberg
- 8R. Renfurm
- 18T. Groenendijk
- 7S. de Jong
- 2F. Hermans
- 15L. Mahieu
- 5S. Verhoeve
- 12Kyra Koopman
- 1F. Bastiaen
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 12:45 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ajax W have 10 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats; Utrecht W have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | PSV/Eindhoven W(home) | 1-4 | Eredivisie Women |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Feyenoord W(away) | 4-1 | Eredivisie Women |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Aktobe W(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Cup - Women |
| Sep 26, 2026 | ADO Den Haag W(home) | 7-1 | Eredivisie Women |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Aktobe W(home) | 8-0 | UEFA Europa Cup - Women |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | ADO Den Haag W(home) | 1-0 | Eredivisie Women |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Twente W(away) | 0-2 | Eredivisie Women |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Heerenveen W(away) | 0-2 | Eredivisie Women |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Feyenoord W(home) | 0-3 | Eredivisie Women |
| Sep 13, 2026 | PEC Zwolle W(home) | 3-4 | Eredivisie Women |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Ajax W wins, 1 draw, 0 Utrecht W wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Utrecht W 0-1 Ajax W | Eredivisie Women |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Utrecht W 0-2 Ajax W | Eredivisie Women |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Ajax W 8-0 Utrecht W | Eredivisie Women |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Utrecht W 1-1 Ajax W | Eredivisie Women |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Ajax W 1-0 Utrecht W | Eredivisie Women |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Utrecht W 0-2 Ajax W | Eredivisie Women |
How many goals should we expect?
Ajax W score 2.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Utrecht W score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ajax W | 2.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Utrecht W | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ajax W sit 2nd in Eredivisie Women (18 points from 8 matches) and Utrecht W sit 10th (4 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ajax W | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 18 |
| 10 | Utrecht W | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 4 |
A question about Ajax W vs Utrecht W?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ajax W vs Utrecht W?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ajax W the favourite at 78%, against 14% for a draw and 8% for Utrecht W.
- Where and when is Ajax W vs Utrecht W played?
- Ajax W vs Utrecht W is played on December 20, 2026 at 03:45 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Toekomst, in the Eredivisie Women.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.