Ajman vs Erbil: prediction and stats
AGCFF Gulf Champions LeagueGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on October 14, 2026 at 02:45 PM (UTC)Ajman Stadium, Ajman
The Footlab AI model makes Ajman the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Erbil. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ajman vs Erbil?
Ajman starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,790 vs 1,673).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ajman vs Erbil
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ajman
4-4-2- 9W. Azaro
- 33Lithierry
- 18I. Moumen
- 48Saad El Hadani
- 99Victor Henrique
- 7Lourency
- 44Yuri Matias
- 22Vitor Vargas
- 2Abdelrahman Rakan
- 12N. A. Mohammed M.
- 40Abdullah Al Tamimi
Erbil
Not enough data to predict the Erbil lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:30 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ajman have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Erbil have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Baniyas SC(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Al Ain(away) | 3-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sharjah FC(home) | 3-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Al-Ittihad Kalba(home) | 2-3 | Pro League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Al Nasr(away) | 2-1 | Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | Naft Maysan(away) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Karbala(away) | 3-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Al-Karma(home) | 1-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Diyala(home) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Al Shorta(away) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
How many goals should we expect?
Ajman score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Erbil score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ajman | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Erbil | 1.7 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Ajman vs Erbil?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ajman vs Erbil?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ajman the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Erbil.
- Where and when is Ajman vs Erbil played?
- Ajman vs Erbil is played on October 14, 2026 at 02:45 PM (UTC) at Ajman Stadium, in the AGCFF Gulf Champions League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.