Erbil vs Al Zawra'a: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Franso Hariri Stadium, Erbil
The Footlab AI model makes Erbil the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Al Zawra'a. The most likely score is 1-1. If Erbil wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,771 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Erbil vs Al Zawra'a?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Erbil (1,664) and Al Zawra'a (1,647).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Erbil vs Al Zawra'a
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Erbil
Not enough data to predict the Erbil lineup.
Al Zawra'a
Not enough data to predict the Al Zawra'a lineup.
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 10:34 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Erbil have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Al Zawra'a have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | Zakho(away) | 1-2 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Mosul(home) | 0-1 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Ajman(away) | 4-5 | AGCFF Gulf Champions League |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Naft Maysan(away) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Karbala(away) | 3-0 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ghaz Al Shamal(away) | 0-1 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Qatar SC(away) | 1-1 | AGCFF Gulf Champions League |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Duhok(away) | 0-3 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Gharraf(home) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya(away) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Erbil wins, 2 draws, 4 Al Zawra'a wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | Erbil 1-1 Al Zawra'a | Iraqi League |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Al Zawra'a 1-0 Erbil | Iraqi League |
| Mar 12, 2025 | Al Zawra'a 4-0 Erbil | Iraqi League |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Erbil 1-1 Al Zawra'a | Iraqi League |
| May 1, 2024 | Al Zawra'a 3-0 Erbil | Iraqi League |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Erbil 0-1 Al Zawra'a | Iraqi League |
How many goals should we expect?
Erbil score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Al Zawra'a score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erbil | 1.7 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Al Zawra'a | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Erbil sit 5th in Iraqi League (18 points from 11 matches) and Al Zawra'a sit 6th (18 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Erbil | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 7 | 18 |
| 6 | Al Zawra'a | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 9 | 18 |
A question about Erbil vs Al Zawra'a?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Erbil vs Al Zawra'a?
- The Footlab AI model makes Erbil the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Al Zawra'a.
- Where and when is Erbil vs Al Zawra'a played?
- Erbil vs Al Zawra'a is played on December 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Franso Hariri Stadium, in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.