Akademija Pandev vs Kozuv Gevgelija: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Blagoj Istatov, Strumica
The Footlab model makes Akademija Pandev the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Kozuv Gevgelija. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Akademija Pandev vs Kozuv Gevgelija?
Akademija Pandev starts as the favourite with a 196-point Elo edge (1,529 vs 1,333).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Akademija Pandev have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Kozuv Gevgelija have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pelister(away) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gorno Lisiče(home) | 2-0 | Second League |
| May 31, 2026 | Skopje(home) | 0-1 | First League |
| May 24, 2026 | Shkupi 1927(home) | 6-0 | First League |
| May 15, 2026 | Shkendija(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Shkupi 1927(home) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FK Rabotnicki(away) | 0-3 | Second League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Detonit Plachkovica(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Belasica(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Novaci(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Akademija Pandev win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Kozuv Gevgelija win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2023 | Kozuv Gevgelija 0-2 Akademija Pandev | Cup |
| Feb 20, 2021 | Kozuv Gevgelija 1-1 Akademija Pandev | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2020 | Akademija Pandev 0-0 Kozuv Gevgelija | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Kozuv Gevgelija vs Akademija Pandev on Sep 20, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Akademija Pandev score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Kozuv Gevgelija score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akademija Pandev | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Kozuv Gevgelija | 2.1 | 1.1 | 8 | 3/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Akademija Pandev sit 2nd in Second League (4 points from 2 matches) and Kozuv Gevgelija sit 8th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Akademija Pandev | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Kozuv Gevgelija | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Akademija Pandev vs Kozuv Gevgelija?
- The Footlab model makes Akademija Pandev the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Kozuv Gevgelija.
- Where and when is Akademija Pandev vs Kozuv Gevgelija played?
- Akademija Pandev vs Kozuv Gevgelija is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Blagoj Istatov, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.