Ohrid vs Belasica: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Biljanini Izvori, Ohrid
The Footlab model makes Ohrid the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Belasica. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ohrid vs Belasica?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Ohrid (1,479) and Belasica (1,442).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ohrid have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Belasica have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Novaci(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Novaci(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Sloga Vinica(home) | 7-1 | Second League |
| May 16, 2026 | Detonit Plachkovica(away) | 2-0 | Second League |
| May 10, 2026 | Golemo Konjari(home) | 3-0 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Novaci(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Osogovo(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FK Rabotnicki(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Detonit Plachkovica(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Kozuv Gevgelija(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Ohrid win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Belasica win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Belasica 0-1 Ohrid | Second League |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Ohrid 1-1 Belasica | Second League |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Ohrid 2-1 Belasica | Second League |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Belasica 1-1 Ohrid | Second League |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Ohrid 2-1 Belasica | Second League |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Belasica 0-1 Ohrid | Second League |
How many goals should we expect?
Ohrid score 2.2 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Belasica score 1.3 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ohrid | 2.2 | 0.6 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Belasica | 1.3 | 0.4 | 10 | 2/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ohrid sit 7th in Second League (3 points from 1 matches) and Belasica sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belasica | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 7 | Ohrid | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ohrid vs Belasica?
- The Footlab model makes Ohrid the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Belasica.
- Where and when is Ohrid vs Belasica played?
- Ohrid vs Belasica is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Biljanini Izvori, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.