Al-Adalah vs Al Saqer: prediction and stats
Division 1Regular Season - 4Kick-off on September 7, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Stadium, Al Ahsa
The Footlab model makes Al Saqer the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Al-Adalah. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Adalah vs Al Saqer?
Al Saqer starts as the favourite with a 175-point Elo edge (1,767 vs 1,593).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Adalah have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Al Saqer have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al Wehda Club(away) | 1-1 | Division 1 |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Al-Fayha(home) | 0-2 | King's Cup |
| May 13, 2026 | Al Jubail(home) | 2-0 | Division 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | Abha(away) | 1-0 | Division 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Al Anwar(home) | 2-1 | Division 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Damac(home) | 0-0 | Division 1 |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Al Jeel(home) | 1-1 | Division 2 |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Mudhar Club(home) | 0-1 | Division 2 |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Al Gottah(away) | 3-1 | Division 2 |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Al Safa(home) | 3-0 | Division 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Adalah score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Al Saqer score 1.5 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Adalah | 1.2 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Al Saqer | 1.5 | 0.6 | 8 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Al-Adalah | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Adalah vs Al Saqer?
- The Footlab model makes Al Saqer the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Al-Adalah.
- Where and when is Al-Adalah vs Al Saqer played?
- Al-Adalah vs Al Saqer is played on September 7, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Stadium, in the Division 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.