Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Ittihad FC: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah
The Footlab model makes Al-Ahli Jeddah the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Al-Ittihad FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Ittihad FC?
A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Al-Ahli Jeddah (2,100) and Al-Ittihad FC (2,009).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Ahli Jeddah have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Al-Ittihad FC have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Abha(home) | 4-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Al Anwar(away) | 2-1 | King's Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Al Diriyah(away) | 1-0 | Pro League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Fulham(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Portimonense(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Al-Hazm(home) | 3-2 | Pro League |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al-Qadisiyah FC(away) | 1-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Al Najma(away) | 3-0 | King's Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Al Kholood(home) | 1-1 | Pro League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Al-Jazira(away) | 4-1 | AFC Champions League Elite |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Al-Ahli Jeddah win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Al-Ittihad FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah 3-1 Al-Ittihad FC | Pro League |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Al-Ittihad FC 0-1 Al-Ahli Jeddah | Pro League |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Al-Ahli Jeddah 2-2 Al-Ittihad FC | Pro League |
| Oct 31, 2024 | Al-Ittihad FC 1-0 Al-Ahli Jeddah | Pro League |
| Apr 1, 2024 | Al-Ahli Jeddah 1-0 Al-Ittihad FC | Pro League |
| Oct 6, 2023 | Al-Ittihad FC 0-1 Al-Ahli Jeddah | Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Ittihad FC on Mar 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Ahli Jeddah score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Ittihad FC score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Ahli Jeddah | 1.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Al-Ittihad FC | 2.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Ahli Jeddah sit 4th in Pro League (6 points from 2 matches) and Al-Ittihad FC sit 2nd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Al-Ittihad FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Ittihad FC?
- The Footlab model makes Al-Ahli Jeddah the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Al-Ittihad FC.
- Where and when is Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Ittihad FC played?
- Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Ittihad FC is played on May 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at King Abdullah Sports City, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.