Al Shabab vs Al-Nassr: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium, Riyadh
The Footlab AI model makes Al-Nassr the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Al Shabab. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al-Nassr wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,598 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Shabab vs Al-Nassr?
Al-Nassr starts as the favourite with a 292-point Elo edge (2,138 vs 1,846).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al Shabab vs Al-Nassr
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al Shabab
4-4-2- 9Roger Martínez
- 49Ricardo Mathias
- 29Y. Adli
- 8J. Brownhill
- 11Daniel Podence
- 10Y. Carrasco
- 4T. Jedvaj
- 17Mohammed Fuad Ibrahim Al Thani
- 21Dhari Al Anazi
- 55Ali Al Bulayhi
- 1M. Diaw
Al-Nassr
4-4-2- 79João Félix
- 7Cristiano Ronaldo
- 10S. Mané
- 17Abdullah Al Khaibari
- 20Ângelo
- 9Abdullah Al Hamdan
- 12Nawaf Boushal
- 26Íñigo Martínez
- 23Ayman Yahya
- 5Abdulelah Al Amri
- 24Bento
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 04:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Shabab have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Al-Nassr have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah(home) | 6-1 | Pro League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Al-Fateh(away) | 3-1 | Pro League |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Al-Faisaly FC(home) | 2-2 | Pro League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Al Taawon(home) | 3-0 | Pro League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Al-Fayha(home) | 0-0 | Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Pakhtakor(away) | 6-2 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Al Kholood(home) | 5-3 | Pro League |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Al-Faisaly FC(away) | 3-1 | Pro League |
| Oct 20, 2026 | NEOM(home) | 1-0 | Pro League |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Neftchi(home) | 3-1 | AFC Champions League Elite |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Al Shabab wins, 1 draw, 5 Al-Nassr wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2026 | Al Shabab 2-4 Al-Nassr | Pro League |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Al-Nassr 3-2 Al Shabab | Pro League |
| Mar 7, 2025 | Al-Nassr 2-2 Al Shabab | Pro League |
| Oct 18, 2024 | Al Shabab 1-2 Al-Nassr | Pro League |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Al Shabab 2-3 Al-Nassr | Pro League |
| Dec 11, 2023 | Al Shabab 2-5 Al-Nassr | King's Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Al Shabab score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Nassr score 2.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Shabab | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Al-Nassr | 2.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Shabab sit 10th in Pro League (14 points from 11 matches) and Al-Nassr sit 3rd (28 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Al-Nassr | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 11 | 28 |
| 10 | Al Shabab | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 14 |
A question about Al Shabab vs Al-Nassr?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Shabab vs Al-Nassr?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al-Nassr the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Al Shabab.
- Where and when is Al Shabab vs Al-Nassr played?
- Al Shabab vs Al-Nassr is played on May 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.